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    CCSR Technical Reports,
    with Abstracts: 1990-94





    Technical Reports, with Abstracts: 1994

  1. E.A. Jackson, The Second Metamorphosis of Science: A Working Paper , Technical Report CCSR-94-1

    Abtract: During the period of approximately 1570-1790 the first metamorphosis of science transformed the operational foundations of science, that were largely the heritage from the time of Aristotle, into its modern form. These new foundations consisted of the use of (1) Physical Experiments and the use of (2) Mathematical Models, involving differential equations. This metamorphosis was largely due to Brahe, Kepler, Galileo, Newton, Leibnitz, Euler, and Lagrange. These operational methods were accompanied by the development of several philosophical attitudes and beliefs. One attitude (an implicit but operative frame of mind) arose from the loss of concern about the limitations of the encoding and decoding of information between experiments and mathematics; that is, an increased identification of the physical world with the mathematical models used to make very limited predictions of that world. The more overt philosophical beliefs related to the fundamental character of reductionistic methods in science. Among these beliefs was the idea that it is possible to synthesize this reductionistic knowledge, thereby obtaining a theory of the universe, capable of predicting all phenomena in nature. The idea that there is indeed any such thing as one set of laws which govern the behavior of the universe has its origins in antiquity, where the laws often referred to the desires of a god. This belief was immeasurably reinforced within Science by the success of Newton's 'universal law' of gravitation. The blending of these persuasions was perhaps captured best, intended or not, in Einstein's famous remark, "I shall never believe that God plays dice with the world."
    Over the past century the character and structure of science has been going through a second process of fundamental change which has been brought about by two classes of discoveries. The first group of discoveries concern mathematical results which are directly related to the limitations in what we can learn about the dynamic behaviors in nature from these mathematical models. The discoveries of these limitations should have produced a 'loss-of-innocence' era, but they have largely gone unnoticed by scientists, even though they have profound implications concerning the future character of science. Among these discoveries, which apply to essentially all mathematical models of physical systems, are our inherent limitations to make: (1) analytic mathematical deductions, (2) deterministic physical predictions, and (3) structurally stable models of closed systems. In addition, other mathematical discoveries were made which struck at the basic idea that mathematical systems are consistent, and can establish any result which is true. Each of these discoveries have, or will have, a direct impact on the philosophical preconceptions of many scientists, since they shatter widely held beliefs about our ability to extract (deduce) information about nature only through the use of mathematical modeling and analysis, together with physical experiments. Physical experiments also stimulated other mathematical studies that further confirmed this lack of physical predictability. These results establish that our knowledge about the behavior of complex systems is limited to 'comprehensible' sets of observables (windows of comprehension), that involved 'bounded reducibility', and also establish that we are only capable of bounded predictability of physical events (proportional to our bounded information about the state of the system).
    In the second half of this century a totally different class of opportunities and discoveries have been made possible by a new operational basis for scientific investigations, due to the digital computer. This expanded the operational bases of (1) Physical Experiments, and (2) Mathematical Models, established during the first metamorphosis, to include the third operational basis for obtaining knowledge about nature, that will be referred to as (3) Computer Experiments. Operations carried out in each of these three areas can yield independent knowledge relevant to our understanding of nature, and can interface directly with either of the other two areas. In particular, the lost deductive dreams concerning mathematical models, the information encoding-decoding limitations that exist between physical experiments and mathematical solutions, and the bifurcation processes of dynamical models, have already been clarified and extended by Computer Experiments. Some of the numerous potentials for this interplay between the three operational methods is discussed below. For example, information about the dynamics of physical systems can be achieved using the interface between Computer Experiments and Physical Experiments, which does not rely on any mathematical modeling (or algorithms) related to the observables of the physical system. Moreover, using only this experimental information, limited predictions can be made without any dynamic models. Also certain types of local and global mathematical models can be sought, which is a simple form of computer/human induction. Computer Experiments also allow for the search of dynamics (algorithms) which scientists have not been capable of imagining in their inductive dreams; a more profound form of the computer inductive process is related to ongoing developments of computer 'genetic' dynamics. Computer Experiments can graphically represent incomprehensible data sets, and can search for 'emergent' properties of complex systems. Also there is is a branch of research that is exploring fundamental issues related to the possible finite-informational character of all dynamic phenomena, and its natural association with both reconstruction methods and Computer Experiments.
    With the recognition of deductive limitations and the expanded operational foundation, the general character of science is going through a process of metamorphosis which is both exciting in its richness, and impossible to presently define with any precision. Some aspects of this metamorphosis, and their bearing on widely held philosophical dreams of scientists, will be discussed. Reprint

  2. G. Mayer-Kress, Localized Measures for Non-Stationary Time-Series of Physiological Data , Technical Report CCSR-94-2

    Abtract: We will discuss localized measures related to the concepts of dimension, Lyapunove exponents (entropy), and recurrence diagrams. We stress the relevance of localized events and coincidences in physiological time series that often are lost when statistical averaging methods are applied. We suggest event based statistics as an alternative to spectral or averaged based statistics. The use of wavelets bases for characterizing localized structures is discussed as a potential alternative to Fourier based analysis. Finally we mention how local domains in state space could be applied as triggers for external stimuli and thereby improve the statistics of ERP recordings. Reprint

  3. A. Herz, Collective Phenomena in Spatially Extended Evolutionary Games , Technical Report CCSR-94-3

    Abtract: A class of spatially extended evolutionary games with simple local rules is introduced. The emergent properties are studied through two complementary approaches. One is based on a heuristic local analysis, the other on exact global techniques.
    The local analysis provides criteria to form groups of games with distinct behavior. The results facilitate numerical simulations and reveal that even simple games allow for complex spatio-temporal phenomena. The global analysis demonstrates that certain games perform an up-hill march in a fitness landscape determined by the payoff parameters and the topology of the underlying lattice structure. For generic game parameters, the landscape is rugged due to competing interactions and generates dynamical phenomena well known from frustrated systems: trapping in local maxima for noiseless dynamics and very long relaxation times for stochastic dynamics.
    Although the model is a mere caricature of evolutionary processes, some of its emergent properties are reminiscent of those observed in nature. It is argued that similar dynamical phenomena will be present in more elaborate approaches. Reprint

  4. E.A. Jackson, The Changing Foundations of Science , Technical Report CCSR-94-4

    Abtract: In this article I will give brief outline of the changes that have begun to occur in those sciences that attempt to understand natural phenomena. The approach will be a 'bottom-up' organization of this field of activity, starting with the most basic operations of generating scientific information, proceeding to the less objective activities that relate these different forms of information ('scientific methods'), and finally trying to uncover the new unifying programs of science. The ordering helps to eliminate many ill-defined 'scientific' concepts, which greatly assists in focusing on the new basic aspects and challenges in this wonderful changing scene.
    This bottom-up ordering of scientific activities will be organized into three tiers:
    I) The three information-generating operations used in modern science, and the distinct characteristics of their information.
    II) The problems associated with the encoding/decoding of information between these operations, and the multiple types of cyclic routes that can be used to connect these forms of information. Each cycle yields a different type of 'scientific method', which is intended to validate our understanding of some phenomenon.
    III) Some of the questions that are related to the new organizing principles of science, which are needed to replace the historic and discredited program of microreduction-followed-by-deductive-syntheses (or simply, the reduction/synthesis program).
    While each of these tiers involve a myriad of issues, I will attempt to select a few of the most basic elements, following the above order. Reprint

  5. G. Mayer-Kress, C. Barczys, The Global Brain as a Modeling Paradigm for Crisis Management , Technical Report CCSR-94-5

    Abtract: We discuss how the existence of a global and tightly connected network of computer workstations such as the Internet can lead to the emergence of a globally self-organized structure that we would like to refer to as the Global Brain. Associated with that structure would be the capability for a class of highly distributed and interactive global models that can have a functional resemblance to how biological brains solve complex problems. Though this article emphasizes worldwide models for crisis management, the concept of a Global Brain and models which utilize the Global Brain can be applied in any research area where models that are more rapid and appropriate in their responses to ever-changing, non-equilibrium situations are desired. We first discuss some functional properties of biological brains and how their functional analog could be manifested in a Global Brain. We then present an eight-step process for constructing models which utilize the Global Brain. We review some of the tools that are currently available to make the information and simulation resources of the global Internet system accessible to researchers wishing to participate in the development of this type of model. We discuss some potential applications to regional crisis management that might result from this approach. We conclude with a consideration of some of the implications of a Global Brain. Reprint

  6. G. Mayer-Kress, W. Bender, J. Bazik, Hyper-Media on the Internet as a Tool for Approaching Global Problems: A Tele-Conferencing Experiment , Technical Report CCSR-94-6

    Abtract: In this report we describe an experimental virtual participation in a panel discussion of the Seventh Annual Hunger Research and Exchange via Internet and telephone. The aim was to demonstrate an efficient and cost-effective way of virtual conference participation, especially for researchers from third world countries. We used state of the art hyper-media documents (using WWW/Mosaic) that were transferred to workstations at the conference site, prior to the presentation. During the oral presentation via telephone, visual aids were presented by a local operator who provided realtime feedback to the presenter via the Unix talk program. Reprint

  7. E.A. Jackson, I. Grosu, An Open-Plus-Closed-Loop (OPCL) Control of Complex Dynamic Systems , Technical Report CCSR-94-7

    Abtract: A new method of controlling arbitrary nonlinear dynamic systems, dx⁄dt = F(x,t)(x∈Rn), is presented. It is proved that there exist solutions, x(t), in the neighborhood of any arbitrary 'goal' dynamics g(t) that are entrained to g(t), through the use of an additive controlling action, K(g,x,t) = H(dg⁄dt,g) + C(g,t)(g(t)-x) , which is the sum of the open-loop (Hübler) action, H(dg⁄dt,g), and a suitable linear closed-loop (feedback) action C(g,t). Examples of some newly obtained entrainment controls are given. Reprint

  8. P. Jung, G. Mayer-Kress, Stochastic Resonance in Threshold Devices , Technical Report CCSR-94-8

    Abtract: We consider the transmission of a periodic by noisy threshold devices. A general expression for the input-output characteristic is developed and applied to two particular threshold devices. It is shown that the amplitude of the signal output shows in the sub-threshold regime a maximum as a function of the noise strength - the fingerprint of stochastic resonance. Reprint

  9. P. Jung, Threshold Devices: Fractal Noise and Neural Talk , Technical Report CCSR-94-9

    Abtract: We consider the statistical properties of random pulse trains generated by noisy signals imposed on a threshold device - a simple model for the information processing of a single neuron. It is shown that Markovian noise generates self-similar bursts characterized by algebraic decaying correlations and power spectra. It is further shown that the role of noise is ambiguous. For sub-threshold signals, noise can enhance the performance of a threshold device, whereas above threshold noise always degrades a signal. Reprint

  10. U. Parlitz, G. Mayer-Kress, Predicting Low Dimensional Spatio-Temporal Dynamics Using Discrete Wavelet Transforms , Technical Report CCSR-94-10

    Abtract: A new method is presented for predicting spatio-temporal time series whose dynamics is generated by a low-dimensional deterministic dynamical systems. It is based on a combination of time delay embedding and wavelet expansion and is also applicable in cases where the dynamics may not be linearly decomposed into the evolution of a small number of spatial modes. As an example we predict chaotic transversal motions of two Gaussian pulses along a one dimensional axes. Reprint

  11. E.A. Jackson, Transferring Dynamics Between Five Attractors of the Chua System , Technical Report CCSR-94-11

    Abtract: The Chua electronic circuit possess five attractors; one limit cycle, two fixed points, a one-band and a three-band strange attractor. It is shown that, by applying the open-plus-closed-loop control recently developed by Jackson and Grosu, it is possible to reliably transfer the dynamics between any of the five attractors, without any knowledge of the state of the system on the initial attractor. Of particular interest is that this can be accomplished by the use of only five fixed-point goals, one for each of the final attractors. Thus, in the basin of attraction of each attractor there exists a set of points whose basins of entrainment contains all of the other attractors. Such a simple 'migration action' can not be expected to hold for all systems. Reprint

  12. R. Shermer, S. Balachandar, A. Hübler, Forced Drag Modification on a Cylinder in a 2D Numerical Simulation , Technical Report CCSR-94-12

    Abtract: The theoretical development of an open loop control method loosely known as Model-based control has suggested a systematic technique for controlling hydrodynamic systems without feedback. Computing a driving force that yields a new mathematical solution to the system is the fundamental idea behind the technique. The theoretical development is explored and the stability of this method is verified in a computational setting using a verified pseudo-spectral simulation of a two dimensional, incompressible Navier-Stokes flow past a cylinder. The first simulation uses the ideal force (which is not physically realizable) to take an open channel flow system with a radius Reynolds number of 60 to a stationary flow field state having a Reynolds number of 5. The second simulation demonstrates the effect of restricting the driving force to a thin boundary layer about the cylinder in order to achieve a physically applicable control. The temporal entrainment process is shown and drag coefficients are measured. The ideal driving force, its boundary layer approximation and physical implementation are also discussed. Reprint

  13. D. Pierre, A. Hübler, A Theory for Adaptation and Competition Applied to Logistic Map Dynamics , Technical Report CCSR-94-13

    Abtract: We present a theory for adaptive, predictive, and competitive agents in an evolving chaotic environment. The agents are simple algorithmic agents designes to model, predict, and exert open loop control on their environment. The environment is the time iteration of the logistic map with external noise added. We find that passive agents can make accurate single step predictions even if the environmental dynamics is chaotic, while accurate multiple step predictions are possible only if the Liapunov exponent of the environmental dynamics is negative. Multiple step predictions with high precision can be made over a broad range of conditions when one agent exerts control on the environment. When two agents are simultaneously attempting control of the environment an agent will achieve the smallest prediction error when the second agent's goal dynamics has a stable fixed point which coincides with a stable or unstable fixed point of the goal dynamics of the first agent. When the fixed points of the goal dynamics of the two agents do not match, we find that the prediction errors of both agents approaches a constant value while the amplitudes of the driving forces grow at a constant rate. Further, our studies suggest that generally the agent with the more complicated goal dynamics may achieve an extremely small prediction error by a perfect entrainment of the environmental dynamics. Reprint

  14. H. Nosaka, K. Tsuji, A. Hübler, Optimal Control of Singular Motion , Technical Report CCSR-94-14

    Abtract: We study the control of overdamped motion of particle subject to a non-smooth force. We find size of optimal control force is very small at the boundary between singular and regular motion. In addition we find that linear feedback does not stabilize control of singular motion. We show that the special type of feedback makes it possible to stabilize the control of singular motion. We discuss impact of noise. Reprint

  15. C. Wargitsch, A. Hübler, System Identification With Stochastic Resonance , Technical Report CCSR-94-15

    Abtract: We study the impact of noise to the entrainment of underdamped nonlinear oscillators to resonant driving forces. We find that the power consumption is large at a certain noise level. In addition we find that the power consumption drops significantly if the forcing function is off-resonant. We discuss possible applications for system identifications. Reprint

  16. R. Mettin, W. Lauterborn, A. Hübler, A. Scheeline, Parametric Entrainment Control , Technical Report CCSR-94-16

    Abtract: We present a generalized approach for model-based non-feedback control of nonlinear dynamical systems that includes parametric dependence on the control forces. For iterated maps and ordinary differential equations, we obtain entrainment to stationary, periodic, and aperiodic goal dynamics. Applicability to general resonance spectroscopy is demonstrated, and use in a case of restricted control is shown. Reprint

  17. F. Yamaguchi, K. Kawamura, A. Hübler, Sudden Drop of Dissipation in Field-Coupled Quantum Dot Transistor , Technical Report CCSR-94-17

    Abtract: We propose a novel device where energy loss accompanied by a current flow through a resistor is recovered, and therefore Joule's heat production is exclusively low. This "energy-recovery effect" is caused by dynamical transition due to electronic coherent i nterference, namely Coulomb interaction within specially designed coupled-quantum dots. We study characteristics of this device as a resistor. We find sudden drop of energy dissipation due to the current flow as a function of the electro-chemical potential of the reservoir which is coupled to the quantum dots. In addition, we show resistance of the device depends on the strength of the Coulomb interaction. Reprint

  18. S. Fujiwara, A. Hübler, Chaotic Mixing by Kneading , Technical Report CCSR-94-18

    Abtract: We study the mixing process of kneading dough experimentally and model it with a simple area-preserving map ("mixing map"). This map is characterized by a parameter rsm (1/2 ≤ rsm ≤ 1) , which represents the ratio of "stretching" to "moving", and a map with rsm = 1 corresponds to a baker's transformation. We analyze mixing properties of this map by applying the diagnostics of mixing used by I. Zawadzki and H. Aref (Phys. Fluids A 3, 1405 (1991)). We find that mixing is very efficient at rsm = 1 but degrades rapidly nearby. However at rsm ≈ 3/4 mixing is as efficient as a baker's transformation. Accidentally, this parameter region rsm ≈ 3/4 is achievable experimentally. PACS number(s): 05.45+b, 83.50.Ws Reprint

  19. P. Jung, G. Mayer-Kress, Noise Controlled Spiral Growth in Excitable Media , Technical Report CCSR-94-19

    Abtract: We consider a two-dimensional pulse-coupled array of noisy threshold elements with a long-range interaction. For tight coupling, we observe the formation of spatio-temporal excitation waves, such as target and spiral waves. For weak coupling, we find noise sustained spiral growth, where the noise level controls the scale of the spiral. Reprint

  20. P. Jung, P. Talkner, Suppression of Higher Harmonics at Noise Induced Resonances , Technical Report CCSR-94-20

    Abtract: We consider the generation of higher harmonics in periodically driven noisy nonlinear systems. Recent numerical studies of higher harmonics in such systems have shown so-called noise induced resonances that manifest themselves in a strong suppression of higher harmonics at certain values of the noise level. A theory for this peculiar phenomenon is presented, unmasking the universal character of these resonances and their widespread. Reprint

  21. L. Arsenault, A. Hübler, Dynamics of Damped Coupled Oscillators Near Resonance , Technical Report CCSR-94-21

    Abtract: We study the dynamics of two conservative oscillators with pertubations from a linear displacement coupling and non-Hamiltonian forces such as damping. We examine the dynamics of these systems when they are near the primary resonance using secular pertubation theory. We show that near resonance a large class of driven oscillators and two coupled oscillators can be transformed to the same ordinary differential equations (ODE's). This common type of dynamics near the resonance is a generalization of the standard Hamiltonian dynamics of two coupled conservative oscillators. We derive expressions for the parameters in these ODE's. From these parameters, we derive analytical expressions for the linear fixed point behavior of these oscillators near resonance. We find a relation between the amplitude frequency coupling of the oscillators and their phase-locking behavior. In particular, we show that two hard oscillators lock in phase and two soft oscillators lock out of phase. We compare our theoretical predictions with computer simulations of two examples: a s sinusoidally driven X3 force oscillator and two coupled van der Pol oscillators with X3 force. Reprint

  22. G. Mayer-Kress, C. Barczys, The Global Brain as an Emergent Structure from the Worldwide Computing Network, and its Implications for Modelling , Technical Report CCSR-94-22

    Abtract: We propose that the existence of a globally and tightly connected network of computer workstations such as the Internet can lead to the emergence of a globally self-organized structure which we refer to as the Global Brain.
    Associated with that structure would be the capability for higher levels of information processing which can be harnessed to build new kinds of models that are more rapid and appropriate in their responses to ever-changing, non-equilibrium situations. To gain insight into possible characteristics of a Global Brain, we examine some functional properties of biological brains and discuss how their functional analog could be manifested in a Global Brain.
    We then explore the implications of a Global Brain for simulation modelling, and present an eight-step process for constructing models which utilize the Global Brain. We review some of the tools that are currently available to make the information and simulation resources of the global Internet system accessible to researchers wishing to participate in the development of this type of model. We discuss some potential applications to regional crisis management that might result from this approach. We conclude with a consideration of some of the implications of a Global Brain. Reprint

  23. R. Bartussek, P. Hänggi, P. Jung, Stochastic Resonance in Optical Bistable Systems , Technical Report CCSR-94-23

    Abtract: We study the response of a noise-driven absorptive optical bistable system which is subjected to deterministic periodic pertubations of the incident light intensity. This system is characterized by state-dependent noise which in turn can strongly enhance - vis stochastic resonance - the response due to the external periodic pertubation. We demonstrate that the condition for stochastic resonance sensitively depends on the shape of the bistable generalized potential (symmetric or asymmetric). Furthermore, the generation of higher harmonics is studied in the presence of fluctuations. We report on a novel phase-sensitive resonance phenomenon which virtually eliminates the higher harmonics and thus allows for distortion-free amplification of signals via stochastic resonance. Reprint

  24. C. Wargitsch, A. Hübler, Resonances of Nonlinear Oscillators , Technical Report CCSR-94-24

    Abtract: We study the dynamics of nonlinear oscillators with aperiodic driving forces. We find that these oscillators have a large response to special aperiodic driving forces. These optimal forcing functions are given by the time-reflected transient of the unpertubed dynamics when the size of the forcing function is measured with the L2-norm (principle of the dynamical key). We provide a proof of this principle. We find that optimal forcing functions have very similar dynamics for several different norms. We present a quantitative comparison of the energy transfer for sinusoidal and optimal driving force. We find that aperiodic driving forces are most effective for large nonlinearity and small friction. For several important systems, we show that optimal control is stable Reprint

  25. G. Mayer-Kress, W. Bender, J. Bazik, A Tele-Conferencing Experiment with WWW/Mosaic , Technical Report CCSR-94-25

    Abtract: In this report we describe an experimental virtual participation in a panel discussion of the Seventh Annual Hunger Research and Exchange via Internet and telephone. The aim was to demonstrate an efficient and cost-effective way of virtual conference participation, especially for researchers from third world countries. We used state of the art hyper-media documents (using WWW/Mosaic) that were transferred to workstations at the conference site, prior to the presentation. During the oral presentation via telephone, visual aids were presented by a local operator who provided realtime feedback to the presenter via the Unix talk program. Reprint

  26. G. Mayer-Kress, Messy Futures and Global Brains , Technical Report CCSR-94-26

    Abtract: The recent history after WW-II was characterized by a relatively simple partition of the world in basically two domains of superpower interests. Security issues could be discussed and analyzed in global framework of two strategic players. There were clear goals and roles for the players. Today with the role of strategic nuclear weapons greatly reduced we have regional crises which have some similarities with pre WW-I situations with one major difference: Today's world is much more connected, especially information-wise: On a large scale we are able to get direct first hand information from crisis areas and - for example through computer networks - can directly participate in the discussion. That makes the future from a traditional control point of view messy and on a global scale more complex and less predictable. For that reason we think that the conditions for the emergence of a Global Brain will become a practical reality for global modeling and simulation in the very near future. We also discuss some of the potential future applications. Reprint

  27. U. Dierker, M. Dueweke, A. Hübler, Self-Assembling Electrical Connections Based on the Principle of Minimum Resistance , Technical Report CCSR-94-27

    Abtract: We study self-constructing and self-repairing electrical connections built by agglomeration of metallic particles between two electrodes. Our experiments show that self-assembling electrical connections grow by building a chain of particles between two electrodes immersed in a dielectric liquid. We find that the growth time for the self-assembling process is a linear function of the initial average spacing of metallic particles and a linear function of the distance between the electrodes. Furthermore, the experiments demonstrate the ability of the electrical connection to self-repair following small pertubations. We discuss possible future applications of this phenomenon for fabricating nanoscale circuits. Reprint

  28. N. Birbaumer, W. Lutzenberger, H. Rau, G. Mayer-Kress, I. Choi, C. Braun, Perception of Music and Dimensional Complexity of Brain Activity , Technical Report CCSR-94-28

    Abtract: The non-linear resonance hypothesis of music perception was tested in an experiment comparing a group of musically sophisticated and a group of less sophisticated subjects. The prediction that weakly chaotic music entrains less complex brain wave (EEG) oscillations at the prefrontal cortex was confirmed by using a correlational dimension algorithm. Strongly chaotic (stochastic) and periodic music both stimulated higher brain wave complexity. More sophisticated subjects who prefer classical music showed higher EEG dimensions while less sophisticated subjects responded with a drop in brain wave complexity to rhythmical weakly chaotic music. Subjects ratings of perceived complexity of the musical pieces followed mathematical (objective) structure of the music and did not reflect the changes in brain wave complexity. The results are interpreted in the context of an associated (Hebbian) network theory of non-linear brain dynamics. Reprint

  29. P. Jung, G. Mayer-Kress, Spatio-Temporal Stochastic Resonance in Excitable Media , Technical Report CCSR-94-29

    Abtract: We consider a two-dimensional pulse-coupled array of noisy threshold elements with a long-range interaction. It is shown that the synchronization of activation patterns with external excitatory waves shows a sharp peak at a finite, well-defined noise level. This effect can be understood as a generalization of the concept of stochastic resonance to spatially extended systems. We further show the impact of spatio-temporal stochastic resonance for the spreading of spiral waves, where the noise level controls the scale and size of the spiral. Reprint

  30. P. Jung, B.J. Berne, The Theory of Multi-Barrier Crossing , Technical Report CCSR-94-30

    Abtract: We investigate hopping in periodic potentials. In the limit of small damping, multiple barrier crossing, i.e. hopping between nonadjacent potential wells, becomes important. It is shown that these multiple hopping rates can be obtained systematically in terms of the lowest lying band of eigenvalues of the Fokker-Planck equation. We study multiple jump rates as well as jump-length distributions from strong to weak friction. Reprint

  31. G. Mayer-Kress, P. Diehl, H. Arrow, The United Nations and Conflict Management in a Complex World , Technical Report CCSR-94-31

    Abtract: We created a hyper-text document as part of an experiment to use an evolving electronic document as reference and analysis tool with links to issues related to United Nations and Conflict Management focussing on the example of the Balkan crisis. It is intended to be intrinsically dynamic and multi-dimensional. The links to other documents and data will continuously change and evolve, reflecting the ongoing developments in the world. We want to see this as a conceptual modeling exercise, where the global computer network is used as a tool without limiting ourself to formal and/or quantitative models. It is a goal, however, to create links to quantitative models and data wherever appropriate. For this paper itself we have only used material and resources that were obtained via the Internet.
    We supplement the hyper-text pages with diagrams that should help in clustering and connecting various elements of this complex structure and give a graphical representation of relationships among the different sub-items. The links in those diagrams should be interpreted very generally, not necessary implying specific causal or quantitative relationships unless explicitly mentioned.
    The paradigm that we want to use is that of a Global Brain: Instead of engineering wiring diagrams or blueprints with well defined and structured pathways a more adequate representation of a global system is that of neural connections in the brain. They mainly facilitate associations between different nodes which then will be enhanced or reduced according to their previous activation in relation to solving specific problems. Since these diagrams and linked-networks are electronically accessible and easily modifiable, they will not be static but maybe duplicated and modified according to different perspectives which can compete among each others. An efficient selection mechanism based on adaptive and distributed s imulations with short-term predictions can be expected to emerge. Reprint

  32. C. Wargitsch, Nonlinear Resonances: An Overview , Technical Report CCSR-94-32

    Abtract: Es wird gezeigt, dass der Response nichtlinearer Oszillatoren auf eine spezielle Klasse aperiodischer Antriebskräfte gross ist. Diese speziellen Antriebskräfte werden nichtlineare resonante Antriebskräfte genannt. Sie resultieren aus einer Minimierung des Antriebsaufwands bei festgehaltener Endenergie und sind durch die zeitreflektierte Transiente der ungestörten Dynamik des Oszillators gegeben (Prinzip des dynamischen Schlüssels ). Ein analytischer Beweis dieses Prinzips wird vorgestellt. Zur numerischen Verifikation der analytischen Ergebnisse werden die Energietransfers bei sinusförmig und optimal getriebenen Oszillatoren verglichen. Es zeigt sich, dass optimale Antriebskräfte dann besonders wirkungsvoll gegenüber sinusförmigen sind, wenn die Dämpfung schwach und die Nichtlinearität hoch ist. Weiterhin wurde festgestellt, dass optimale Antriebskräfte, die mit unterschiedlichen Normen für den Antriebsaufwand errechnet werden, einander ähnlich sind. Eine Stabilitätsanalyse mit der Multiple Scales - und der Strained Parameter - Methode für verschiedene wichtige Systeme ergibt, dass die eingeführten optimalen Antriebe zu einer stanbilen Anregung führen. Die Untersuchung eines mehrdimensionalen Systems zeigt, dass es energetisch günstig ist, nur die am schwächsten gedämpfte Mode anzuregen. Unterliegt das System einem Rauschen, wird das Auftreten von Stochastischer Resonanz beobachtet, d.h. der Response ist dann besonders gross, wenn der Rauschanteil in der Antriebskraft ungefähr mit dem Rauschen im System übernimmt. Reprint





  33. Technical Reports, with Abstracts: 1993

  34. G. Mayer-Kress, Global Information Systems and Nonlinear Methodologies in Crisis Management , Technical Report CCSR-93-1 (January 1993)

    Abtract: Crisis management can be seen as one of the major problems of a sustainable development in the post-cold-war world order. Traditional approaches of modelling, based on closed descriptions of more or less abstract global systems do not appear to be adequate for the new challenges. We suggest that new evolutionary integrated models will make extensive use of a rapidly growing global computer network that will permit direct communication and efficient exchange of information as well as quantitative and conceptual sub-models and simulations.
    We present a very incomplete overview of some of the information and modelling tools that are available today on the internet. We discuss some recent experiences that we obtained by following the network discussions on the current regional crises in the Balkans and how distributed integrated models on the internet might help to prevent the violent escalation of future crises. Reprint

  35. A. Hübler, D. Pines, Prediction and Adaptation in an Evolving Chaotic Environment , Technical Report CCSR-93-2

    Abtract: We describe work in progress on computer simulations of adaptive predicitve agents responding to an evolving chaotic environment and to one another. Our simulations are designed to quantify adaptation and to explore co-adaptation for a simple calculable model of a complex adaptive system. We first consider the ability of a single agent, exposed to a chaotic environment, to model, control, and predict the future states of that environment. We then introduce a second agent which, in attempting to model and control both the chaotic environment and the first agent, modifies the extent to which that agent can identify patterns and exercise control. The competition between the two predicitive agents can lead either to chaos, or to metastable emergent behavior, best described as a leader-follower relationship. Our results suggest a correlation between optimal adaptation, optimal complexity, and emergent behavior, and provide preliminary support for the concept of optimal co-adaptation near the edge of chaos. Reprint

  36. E. Meiburg, N. Raju, The Mixing Transition: Dynamical and Kinematic Consideration , Technical Report CCSR-93-3

    Abtract: Several aspects of the mixing transition for a plane three-dimensionally evolving shear layer are studied using a subharmonically pertubed point vortex row. This model mimicks the vortex pairing stage of the mixing layer evolution and is shown to give rise to periodic, quasi-periodic, and chaotic particle trajectories and exponential interfacial stretching rates. Particular attention focuses on the rapid production of small scales resulting from the dynamics of the large-scale motion. We point out two distinct aspects of the transition process, one being dynamical in origin, the other one purely kinematic. The dynamical aspects are studied by analyzing the Poincare map and its stable and unstable manifolds, which provides insight into the entrainment and detrainment of fluid into the mixing layer. The unstable manifold, which acts as the organizing structure for the fluid transport processes, is visualized by computationally tracking Lagrangian line elements in the model flow. The kinematic aspects of the transition are studied by focusing on an isolated rotating vortex pair in a background strain field. For small subharmonic pertubation amplitudes, a change in the topology of the streamline pattern in the rotating reference frame leads to the formation of spiral arm structures seen in other work, and consequently to a more intense production of small scales. For larger subharmonic pertubation amplitudes, this effect does not occur. Hence strong subharmonic forcing does not lead to the more rapid production of small scales. Qualitative comparisons with other models as well as experiments and direct Navier-Stokes simulations are discussed. Reprint

  37. G. Mayer-Kress, I. Choi, N. Weber, R. Bargar, A. Hübler, Musical Signals from Chua's Circuit , Technical Report CCSR-93-4

    Abtract: Chua's circuit can produce a very rich variety of signals, both periodic and chaotic. We explore some classes of these attractors with respect to their auditory display and musical properties. We discuss the fast control of the circuit through a specially developed computer-controlled electronic resistor and how chaotic control methods might be applied to optimally switch between different attractors. The Chua circuit has parameter regions where noisy frequency and amplitude modulated sounds are generated, each of which is related to a certain transition to chaos. We discovered a period-adding sequence of bassoon-like sounds that produces interesting almost-harmonic pitch changes. Finally we emphasize the importance of transient dynamics, especially in the context of percussion-like sounds. Reprint

  38. D. Olson, A. Scheeline, The Peroxidase/NADH Biochemical Oscillator: Experimental System, Control Variables, and Oxygen Mass Transport , Technical Report CCSR-93-5

    Abtract: Experimental control variables are defined and characterized to provide good reproducibility of oscillatory behavior, and allow other investigators to perform additional studies under consistently defined conditions. Fifteen variables are recognized and described. Oxygen mass transport has a large effect on the overall appearance of the oscillations, and is quantitatively related to stirring and several other variables. These conditions combine to yield a single, experimentally measurable oxygen mass-transport constant. Stirring is controlled with a precision motor which is used to explore the mass-transport constant and mixing time as a function of stirrer rotation rate.
    Oscillatory behavior is examined under identical conditions with and without the modifiers methylene blue and 2,4-dichlorophenol (DCP). Omission of DCP from the system does not appreciably change oscillatory behavior under the specified conditions. Slightly damped oscillations are maintained for six hours. The acidic degradation of NADH is significantly affected by illumination from the deuterium lamp used in UV-VIS absorption measurements.
    The importance and value of an analytical approach to this complex system is emphasized throughout. Reprint

  39. G. Mayer-Kress, Global Network Information Systems and Nonlinear Methodologies in Crisis Management , Technical Report CCSR-93-6 (July 1993)

    Abtract: Crisis management can be seen as one of the major problems of with regional conflicts in the post-cold-war world order. Traditional approaches of modelling, based on closed descriptions of more or less abstract global systems do not appear to be adequate for the new challenges. We suggest that new evolutionary integrated models will make extensive use of a rapidly growing global computer network that will permit direct communication and efficient exchange of information as well as quantitative and conceptual sub-models and simulations. We would like to point out analogies to mental processes in individual problem solving strategies and therefore suggest the notion of a "Global Brain".
    We present a very incomplete overview over some of the information and modelling tools that are available today on the internet. We discuss in the context of the current Balkan crisis how distributed integrated models on the internet might help to develop general strategies for an improved management of future crises. Reprint

  40. P. Newton, Hannay-Berry Phase and the Restricted Three Vortex Problem , Technical Report CCSR-93-7

    Abtract: Asymptotic expansions for the Hannay-Berry phase are computed for a class of Hamiltonian systems in pertubed action-angle form with slowly varying parameters, where the parameters recur on a slow time scale. A multi-scale pertubation method is used which in principal can be carried to any desired order of accuracy. As a specific application, we use the method to examine the restricted three vortex problem of two co-rotating point vortices a distance D apart, and a tracer particle rotating around one of the vortices with distance r. In the asymptotic limit rD ≈ ε, we compute the particle trajectory through 0(ε) and find that the Hannay-Berry phase is given by Δθ ≈ -7π-13⁄3 R0D sinh(4π)+0(1⁄D2) where R0 is the conserved action. Reprint

  41. E. Dreisigacker, Basic Research - Quo Vadis? The Grossmann - Committee is Giving its Recommendations , Technical Report CCSR-93-8

    Abtract: Life sciences, clinical and environmental research should receive a significant amount of support from the Federal Minister for Research and Technology according to an advisory committee. During the next few years some areas of physics will have to rely on equipment already available. Reprint

  42. S. Grossmann, Perspectives and Growth Areas of Basic Research in Germany , Technical Report CCSR-93-9

    Abtract: Basic research is no longer confined just to ivory towers and is no longer confined to just a few interested people. The money which is spent for basic research is tremendous. The annual budget of the German National Science Foundation (DFG) is larger than 1.5 Billion DM (1 Billion US Dollar). The support for the Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (MPG) is on the same level (1.2 Billion DM). The German Federal Ministry for Science and Technology (BMFT) spends more than 3.5 Billion DM for basic research, which equals about 40 % of its annual budget (these numbers include the BMFT share for the MPG). Of course, the basic research budget of universities and industrial laboratories is on top of all that. In Germany more than 19 % of all the money which is spent for research and development is spent for basic research whereas in Japan this ration is 13 % and in the USA only 12 %. This article gives a detailed overview of major activities in basic research in Germany and predictions on future developments. Reprint

  43. G. Mayer-Kress, I. Choi, R. Bargar, Sound Synthesis and Music Composition Using Chua's Oscillator , Technical Report CCSR-93-10

    Abtract: We describe simulations of Chua's oscillator and its implementation in a circuit with seven computer-controlled parameters. We discuss its properties with regard to sound synthesis and composition. Reprint

  44. E.A. Jackson, Can Chaos Be Symmetric? , Technical Report CCSR-93-11

    Abtract: If a system of ordinary differential (or difference) equations is invariant under a diffeomorphism, T , that is N -involutive (i.e., TN = I , for some integer N ), any aperiodic solution is one of N distinct aperiodic solutions. In particular, any aperiodic solution of the Lorenz system, the Chua oscillator, or the odd-logistic map is one of two aperiodic solutions; any aperiodic solution of the Hénon-Heiles Hamiltonian system is one of three aperiodic solutions. If their Ω-limit-sets are symmetric, they must be periodic. These mathematical results do not necessarily relate to experimental observations or computer solutions. This illustrates the dichotomy that can exist between mathematical concepts and the physical or computer quantities with which they are associated. Reprint

  45. P. McGuire, H. Bohr, C. Pershing, J. Rafelski, Transitions to Volatility in Random Asymmetric Neural Networks , Technical Report CCSR-93-12

    Abtract: We numerically analyze the diversity of complex spatio-temporal patterns of random asymmetric neural networks (RANNs) in synchronous, discrete time. We study here the impact of noisy thresholds on network performance and find that there is a narrow and interesting region of noise parameters where RANNs display a heretofore unusual behavior desired for rapidly 'thinking' systems with a phase transition to a large set of easily accessible states. Reprint





  46. Technical Reports, with Abstracts: 1992

  47. J. Breeden, N. Packard, Model-Based Control of Nonlinear Systems , Technical Report CCSR-92-1

    Abtract: We show that model-based control of nonlinear systems without feedback (open-loop control) can be obtained with many simple modelling procedures rather than the globally defined ODE's normally assumed. We also extend this technique to control from delay coordinate reconstructed state spaces. In the process, we find that the appropriate choice of delay coordinates can be critical, since the stability of the control is defined within the reconstructed state space. Reprint

  48. B. Clarke, J. Mittenthal, M. Senn, A Model for the Evolution of Networks of Genes , Technical Report CCSR-92-2

    Abtract: An organism persists through the activity of structural genes, which is coordinated by clusters of coupled regulatory genes. During evolution, changes of coupling within a cluster can increase the reliability with which its structural genes perform a task. To study the evolution of coupling we have simulated and analyzed a stochastic model for a simple problem. The assumptions of the model are these: A network of regulatory genes coordinates the synthesis of four structural proteins, which associate in distinct heterodimers that form a heterotetramer. Mutation in cis-regulatory regions produces transitions among 64 types of network. In a population each network reproduces in proportion to its fitness, which depends on its probability (reliability) of synthesizing the tetramer. Fitness-dependent attrition keeps the size of the population constant. Regulatory genes occur in a sequence of levels; each level is associated with a different family of transcription factors. The following results emerge: Because different messengers within a family can give networks with the same connectivity, the 64 types of networks cluster into 8 equivalence classes. During evolution with a low mutation rate, high-fitness classes can be approached through various paths on a fitness landscape. With a higher mutation rate networks remain preponderant. An initially homogeneous population becomes more heterogeneous through mutation, but selection according to fitness later reduces its diversity. During this process the entropy of the population increases, then decreases as the population approaches a unique steady state. Reprint

  49. A. Assad, N. Packard, Emergent Colonizaton in an Artificial Ecology , Technical Report CCSR-92-3

    Abtract: This paper describes a computational model of organisms in an artificial ecology where colonization emerges through a process of resource gathering and exchange amongst an evolving population. Organismic fitness is defined implicitly as a result of local interactions of the artificial organisms with each other and their environment, with no explicit, global directive. The organisms move in the world, seeking different types of resources, and they have the capacity to trade with each other, according to a genetically encoded strategy. If the organisms can survive to the age of sexual maturity, they can reproduce, and their offspring's strategy is changed using crossover and mutation of the parents' strategies. The population is found to evolve a collection of strategies that tend to produce a spatial clustering behavior which is observable at the population level, but is not explicitly specified anywhere in the model. These clusters can be viewed as colonies since the organisms within them have actually evolved to rely to a large extent on the coherence of the cluster as an efficient resource distribution mechanism for their survival. Reprint

  50. J. Mittenthal, B. Clarke, M. Levinthal, Designing Bacteria , Technical Report CCSR-92-4

    Abtract: The genome of an E. coli cell contains codes for about 2000 different proteins. About half of these have now been characterized to some extent. We can imagine that within the next 50 years the structures and functions of every one of these proteins will have been determined and that the entire genome will have been mapped in the greatest possible detail, so that we will know the exact position of each E. coli gene, how the expression of each gene is regulated, and the exact chemical nature of both the gene and its products. It will then be possible to write an Encyclopedia of E. coli Life Processes . If you were to ask someone the question "What is life?" and your respondent handed you the Encyclopedia of E. coli Life Processes , would you be satisfied? Reprint

  51. H.A. Zachariades, Numerical Simulation of the Aligned Neutron Star Magnetosphere , Technical Report CCSR-92-5

    Abtract: For the case of aligned magnetic and rotational axes we solve a fluid version of the Lorents-Dirac equation, in the Landau approximation, for a two-component plasma. We start from an approximately force-free initial condition and numerically integrate the full equations of motion for a time equal to 1.6% of one stellar rotation period. We find that the system tends to a charge-separated state in which a negative charge region above the poles is separated by a vacuum gap from a positive charge region near the equator. We see the formation of force-free regions and a tendency of the vacuum gap to spread as the integrations proceed. The energies attained by the charges are only mildly relativistic and radiation reaction does not play an important role during the integrations. The negative charge above the polar region is electrostatically bound and there is a force-free region towards which the negative charge tends to flow. Some positive charge is magnetically confined near the stellar equator and other positive charge crosses magnetic field lines moving outward to the region beyond the light cylinder. Reprint

  52. J. Breeden, Optimal Representation of Experimental Data , Technical Report CCSR-92-6

    Abtract: No single state space reconstruction of experimental data is optimal for all scientific endeavors. This thesis is all about the coordinates used in reconstruction, the goals of reconstruction, and the criteria used to select optimal reconstructions. A learning algorithm is described, which when given a space of possible coordinates and an optimality criterion selects the best state space reconstruction. This method is applied to specific problems: modeling nonuniformly sampled data, computing the inferable dimension of a data set, and model-based control. Reprint

  53. C. Kiankho Oei, Walsh Function Analysis of Genetic Algorithms of Non-Binary Strings , Technical Report CCSR-92-7

    Abtract: The Walsh transform is used extensively as a tool in determining whether a fitness function over a binary string is deceptive or not. This thesis shows that the Walsh transform method for detecting deception is easily generalized to functions over non-binary strings such as ternary strings, strings with real parameters, and strings with some binary and ternary characters and some real parameters. A generalization of the Hadamard transform is then used to organize the generalized Walsh coefficients into conditions for static deception for non-binary alphabets. The variances of fitness of schemata are calculated using generalized Wals coefficients. Mathematica code for performing most of the calculations mentioned is included. Reprint

  54. J. Crutchfield, Unreconstructible at Any Radius , Technical Report CCSR-92-8

    Abtract: Modeling pattern data series with cellular automata fails for a wide range of deterministic nonlinear spatial processes. If the latter have finite spatially-local memory, reconstructed cellular automata with infinite radius may be required. In some cases, even this is not adequate: an irreducible stochasticity remains on the shortest time scales. The underlying problem is illustrated and quantitatively analyzed using an alternative model class called cellular transducers. Reprint

  55. P. Newton, S. Watanabe, The Geometry of Nonlinear Schrödinger Standing Waves: Pure Power Nonlinearities , Technical Report CCSR-92-9

    Abtract: A numerical method to study radically symmetric standing wave solutions (with arbitrarily large number of nodes) to the nonlinear Schrödinger equation is described and used to study several new geometric features of these waves. The method is based on numerically locating the basin boundary (separating surface) between two attracting invariant lines in phase space. Each solution trajectory lies on the basin boundary, and is computed by 'squeezing' it between two adjacent asymptotically stable trajectories. Of particular interest is the asymptotic distribution of the eigenvalues and the conserved quantities which follow power law behavior. Also of interest is the geometry of the basin boundary, which shows that the solution with a prescribed number of zeroes is unique. Reprint

  56. J. Breeden, N. Packard, Computing the Inferable Dimension of a Data Set , Technical Report CCSR-92-10

    Abtract: We have developed a technique for computing the inferable dimension of a time series di using a dynamical approach to distinguish dynamical variables from random variables. di is the minimum number of dynamical variables necessary to reproduce the observed data to within the noise envelope. This is different from calculations of the minimum embedding dimension which use only topological considerations and thus compute higher dimensions for higher noise levels. di also behaves well for short time series. Reprint

  57. J. Breeden, N. Packard, A Learning Algorithm for Optimal Representation of Experimental Data , Technical Report CCSR-92-11

    Abtract: We have developed a procedure for finding optimal representations of experimental data. Criteria for optimality vary according to context; an optimal state space representation will be one that best suits one's stated goal for reconstruction. We consider a ∞- dimensional set of possible reconstruction coordinate systems that include time delays, derivatives, and many other possible coordinates; and any optimality criterion is specified as a real valued functional on this space. We present a method for finding the maxima of the optimality function using a learning algorithm based upon the genetic algorithm. The learning algorithm machinery for finding optimal representations is independent of the definition of optimality, and thus provides a general tool useful for a wide variety of contexts. Examples are given for chaotic model systems (Hénon, Mackey-Glass, etc.), sunspots, pulsars, and cosmic ray muons. Reprint

  58. A. Hübler, Modeling and Control Systems: Paradigms and Applications , Technical Report CCSR-92-12

    Abtract: In many cases, the dynamics of high dimensional nonlinear systems can be estimated from a low dimensional model. Nearly all variables are slaved by a few order parameters. If the complex system is pertubed by an external force in order to control it or to investigate it with a spectroscopic method, slaved variables can be stimulated and the prediction of the response from the low dimensional model may be impossible. We show that it is generally possible to predict the response of the complex system and to control it, if the external forces are resonant pertubations of the low dimensional model. We present this issue in terms of a few paradigms including the principle of the dynamical key, the principle of optimal interaction and the principle of matching in the framework of other paradigms in complex systems research. We discuss open problems as well as possible industrial applications. Reprint

  59. J. Crutchfield, J. Hanson, Attractor Vicinity Decay for a Cellular Automaton , Technical Report CCSR-92-13

    Abtract: We study the temporal decay of an attractor's vicinity for a domain-wall dominated cellular automaton (CA). Using selected initial pattern ensembles, state space structures in this high-dimensional nonlinear spatial system can be identified via the resulting decay to its attractors. Considered over a range of lattice sizes, the decay behavior falls into three main classes, each of which shows a characteristic profile. The first consists of even-size lattices showing a decelerating decay to small nonattracted ensemble fractions. The second class, also for even lattices, is a catastrophic decay to very small or vanishing nonattracted fractions. The third class also shows catastrophic decay and contains all odd-size lattices. Stochastic models are constructed that mimic the behavior of typical lattices throughout their evolution until finite-size effects appear. Weak additive noise causes all states on all lattices to fall into the attractor. In the end we find it overwhelmingly likely that the recently-proposed attractor-basin portrait captures the CA's qualitative dynamics. Reprint

  60. G. Mayer-Kress, R. Bargar, I. Choi, Musical Structures in Data from Chaotic Attractors , Technical Report CCSR-92-14

    Abtract: One of the most prominent aspect of data from natural phenomena is that of irregularity and complexity. Many universal aspects of such phenomena can be described in the context of chaotic dynamics, and chaotic attractors can serve as model generators of such data. Auditory representations used in conjunction with chaotic attractors can be designed to reveal the unique properties of nonlinear dynamical systems representing complex phenomena. The design of such an auditory representation can benefit from being informed by observations common to both chaotic and musical structure. Recurrence structures in chaotic systems, including intermittency and selfsimilarity, are compatible characteristics for drawing analogies to musical structures. In this paper we explore several designs for auditory representation of chaotic systems. These include both low-level methods (where the sequence of states of the system is mapped directly onto auditory parameters); and higher-level methods which map derived statistical quantities, such as the approximations of the probability distribution (measure) of an attractor into polyphonic auditory constructions. We focus on a few simple dynamical systems where we have a clear understanding of the structure of chaotic attractors, so that we can draw analogies between their representation using sound and the complex non-linguistic structures found in music. Using these analogies we can develop a new generation of auditory representation tools. Reprint

  61. G. Mayer-Kress, Chaos and Crises in International Systems , Technical Report CCSR-92-15

    Abtract: Nonlinear dynamical systems exhibit a very rich class of potential modes of behavior. Among them are order, crises, and chaos, all of which can coexist within a very small range of parameters. They may serve as paradigms for the complex new world order after the end of the cold war where scenarios of delicate crisis management will replace those of plain deterrence or retaliation.
    In this note we first try to give a very short overview of some basic elements of chaos theory. Then we discuss some work in relation to the application of chaos theory to arms race dynamics. Finally we give an outlook of the potential role of nonlinear dynamics and chaos in models for crisis management. Reprint

  62. M. Palus, Testing for Nonlinearity in the EEG , Technical Report CCSR-92-16

    Abtract: Several normal human EEG recordings were tested for nonlinearity, the necessary condition for deterministic chaos, using three different testing methods. In all cases the tests failed to detect the nonlinear character of EEG dynamics. The explanation by a linear stochastic process seems to be consistent with the EEG data. Reprint

  63. M. Palus, V. Albrecht, I. Dvorák, Information Theoretic Test for Nonlinearity in Time Series , Technical Report CCSR-92-17

    Abtract: A diagnostic test for identifying nonlinear dynamical relationships in time series, based on mutual information and redundancy, functionals introduced in information theory, is proposed. Its ability to distinguish (noised) multiperiodic and random time series from time series generated by chaotic dynamical systems is demonstrated. The latter are characterized by specific behaviour of marginal redundancies reflecting the increase of uncertainty in time due to positive information production rate. Reprint

  64. E.A. Jackson, Chaos Concepts , Technical Report CCSR-92-18 Reprint





  65. Technical Reports, with Abstracts: 1991

  66. T. Meyer, N. Packard, Local Forecasting of High Dimensional Chaotic Dynamics , Technical Report CCSR-91-1

    Abstract: We use a genetic learning algorithm to learn patterns in data produced by a high dimensional chaotic attractor. The learned patterns are relationships between a region of the attractor and the future behavior of orbits passing through this region. The learned patterns give an accurate local profile of the attractor, and provide good forecasts. Reprint

  67. P. Newton, Dynamics of Pertubed Amplitude Equations , Technical Report CCSR-91-2

    Abstract: The amplitude equation approach to hydrodynamic stability theory typically leads to a hierarchy of equations which are solved independently at each order. Implicit in this approach is the assumption that the higher order correction terms to the equation have little effect on the dynamic properties of lower order solutions, i.e. the assumption of structural stability. This is not always the case as will be demonstrated in two model problems. The focus will be on 'correction' terms to the nonlinear Schrödinger equation, in particular Ginzburg-Landau type pertubations arising in fluid dynamics and Zakharov type pertubations arising in plasma physics. For the Ginzburg-Landau equation, a two parameter singular limit will be described in which competing stability mechanisms result in chaotic dynamics. For the Zakharov system, a certain kind of ' spikey' structure which develops on the plasma standing wave is captured using a multi-scale pertubation method. This structure has been observed experimentally and plays an important role in the modulational instability development. Reprint

  68. A Learning Algorithm for Optimal Representations of Experimental Data , Joseph. L. Breeden, Norman H. Packard, (See 92-11 for revised version), Technical Report CCSR-91-03 Reprint

  69. E. Atlee Jackson, A. Kodogeorgiou, Entrainment and Migration Controls of Two-dimensional Maps , Technical Report CCSR-91-04 Reprint

  70. Peter Grassberger, Thomas Meyer, Forecasting Probabilities Using Neural Networks , Technical Report CCSR-91-5 Reprint

  71. E.Atlee Jackson, Complicated Dynamics and Controls in a Simple Economic Model , Technical Report CCSR-91-06 Reprint

  72. J. E. Mittenthal, L.V. Beloussov, Processes that May Shape Surfaces in Embryos , Technical Report CCSR-91-07 Reprint

  73. Paul K. Newton, Shinya Watanabe, The Geometry of Nonlinear Schr???dinger Standing Waves , Technical Report CCSR-91-08 Reprint

  74. . Atlee Jackson, A. Kodogeorgiou, A Coupled Lorenz-cell Model of Rayleigh-Benard Turbulence (see 91-19 for revised version), Technical Report CCSR-91-09 Reprint

  75. Russel D. Shermer Model-based Control of Spatially Extended Systems (thesis), Technical Report CCSR-91-10 Reprint

  76. V. Thurner, W. Eberl, A. Hübler, N. Packard, Determination of the Absolute Maximum of Polinomials by Algebraic Bisection Method , Technical Report CCSR-91-11 Reprint

  77. Jay E. Mittenthal, Arthur B. Baskin, Robert E. Reinke, Patterns of Structure and Their Evolution in the Organization of Organisms: Modules, Matching, and Compaction , Technical Report CCSR-91-12 Reprint

  78. Timothy L. Karr, Jay E. Mittenthal, Adaptive Mechanisms that Accelerate Embryonic Developement in Drosophila , Technical Report CCSR-91-13 Reprint

  79. Arthur B. Baskin, Robert E. Reinke, Jay E. Mittenthal, Exploring the Role of Finiteness in the Emergence of Structure , Technical Report CCSR-9-14 Reprint

  80. Joseph L. Breeden, Norman H. Packard, Nonlinear Analysis of Data Sampled Nonuniformly in Time , , Technical Report CCSR-91-15 Reprint

  81. Paul K. Newton, Rapidly Forced Initial Value Problems , Technical Report CCSR-91-16 Reprint

  82. Thomas P. Meyer, Long Range Predictability of High Dimensional Chaotic Dynamics (thesis), Technical Report CCSR-91-17 Reprint

  83. Lenore Levine, Regular Language Invariance under One-dimensional Cellular Automaton Rules , Technical Report CCSR-91-18 Reprint

  84. E. Atlee Jackson, A. Kodogeorgiou, A coupled Lorenz-cell Model of Rayleigh-Benard Turbulence , Technical Report CCSR-91-19 Reprint

  85. Andrew Horner, David E. Goldberg, Genetic Algorithms and Computer-assisted Music Composition , Technical Report CCSR-91-20 Reprint